Ericsson : Better than expected forecast for 5G

  •   17/06/2020 - 14h26
  •   DEHOUI Lionel

Ericsson predicted 100 million subscriptions by the end of 2020. However, in light of the Coronavirus pandemic, it has had to make small downward adjustments for some countries around the world. Adjustments that have helped the general public adopt his concept.

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Ericsson : Better than expected forecast for 5G

Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic on 5G

The company's previous report revealed an estimated 2.6 billion 5G subscriptions. To date, the company has confirmed that it has increased its forecast for global 5G subscriptions to 2.8 billion by 2025, representing approximately 30% of all mobile subscriptions. The remarkable growth of this project is the result of its early adoption in China. Spectacular growth is on the horizon.

The coronavirus pandemic has affected the mobility of populations. "For example, several auctions in Europe have been delayed, which is expected to slow down the adoption of 5G subscriptions in the short term," he said in his semi-annual mobility report. As a result, the company has been considering a discount on its estimates of 5G subscriptions in North America for 2020 and 2021. However, it has maintained its estimates for 2025 for both Europe and North America.


The evolution of 5G on the supplier side during the coronavirus crisis

Suppliers were still active. "Despite the uncertainty caused by the pandemic, service providers continued to activate 5G, and more than 75 of them have now announced the commercial launch of 5G services," said Ericsson. The presence of these providers has increased subscriptions to 5G telephony.

With the advent of the Coronavirus pandemic, the mobile social networking industry has undergone a revolution. Demand for 4G, 3G... network equipment has dropped dramatically, leaving only 5G in North America. The pandemic has contributed enormously to the growth of 5G.

The Chinese (Huawei) and the Finns (Nokia) are the real competitors of the 5G guru Ericsson, but the technological revolution has allowed the 5G giant to predict the future of telephony. In this regard, he said that 4G would remain the dominant subscription access technology in the period 2020-2025, with 5.1 billion subscriptions in 2022 and an expected 4.4 billion by the end of 2025.

From the analysis of the current mobile network trend to 2025, there is a fairly smooth regression of 4G. By 2025, 5G networks will carry nearly half of the world's mobile data traffic, Ericsson predicts. According to Ericsson, global FWA data traffic could reach 53 exabytes in 2025, representing 25 % of total mobile network traffic worldwide. This is a success compared to the end of 2019 when it was only 15%.